DON’T RISK IT
Meanwhile, Australia has grown closer to the United States in response to China’s expanding military might.
But there remains one constant – China is still, by far, Australia and New Zealand’s largest export market.
Geopolitical analyst Geoffrey Miller told AFP that Li’s visit carried a not-so-subtle message: “Don’t put it all at risk.”
New Zealand has been mulling whether to play a limited role in the AUKUS security pact between Washington, London and Canberra – a pact seen as key to countering China’s military expansion.
At the same time, Foreign Minister Winston Peters has called out China’s attempts to bolster its security footprint in the Pacific Islands.
Miller, from Wellington’s Victoria University, said Li would dangle trade “carrots” in an attempt to soften this stance.
Beijing is likely to offer incentives to show New Zealand “what it could lose” if it agrees to join AUKUS in developing defence technology, he said.
“China is aware that no final decision has been made. So there is the chance to impress upon New Zealand the weight of that decision.”
New Zealand was one of the first developed nations to ink a free trade deal with Beijing, and today almost a full third of its goods exports are shipped away to China.
Chinese consumers have a voracious appetite, in particular, for New Zealand’s premium meat, dairy and wine.
PANDA DIPLOMACY
Li will fly out of New Zealand’s commercial hub Auckland on Saturday morning, bound for the southern Australian city of Adelaide.
Sitting on the doorstep of the famed Barossa winemaking region, Adelaide is the home town of Foreign Minister Penny Wong, who is credited with helping stabilise relations between Canberra and Beijing.
Australian wine was among a slew of commodities effectively barred from China at the height of a rancorous and years-long trade dispute that only recently started to subside.
While wine, coal, timber, barley and beef exports have largely resumed, trade barriers remain for Australian rock lobster.
One of Li’s first stops will be Adelaide Zoo, widely seen as a sign that giant pandas Wang Wang and Fu Ni, who have been loaned there from China since 2009, will be allowed to stay.
