LOCALISED ELECTIONS
In 2014 and 2019, the staggering popularity of Mr Modi often ensured the victory of candidates, with voters indicating that they were supporting the prime minister rather than the local candidate. This time around, election choices were much more localised.
Rather than religion, caste dynamics have fundamentally influenced the results, especially so in Uttar Pradesh. With more representatives in the Lok Sabha (lower house of parliament) than any other state, Uttar Pradesh is the most politically important state in India.
The NDA has won 35 seats in Uttar Pradesh, while the Congress-led coalition, the Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance (INDIA), surprised most observers by emerging with 43 seats. This marks a drastic shift from the results of 2019. Then, the NDA had won 64 seats while the Congress and its allies only won 6.
In the absence of an overpowering national narrative, the strong performance of the INDIA in Uttar Pradesh was based on their focus on “rozi roti” (employment) and sewing up of caste alliances.
INDIA expanded its traditional voter base by drawing votes from Dalits who are considered the most marginalised. They did this by positioning themselves as champions of social justice and defenders of affirmative action built upon reservations for disadvantaged caste groups.
BRAND MODI HAS BEEN DENTED
As India returns to the era of coalition governments, the BJP will have to focus on managing allies who will certainly have a list of demands. However, with 240 seats, the BJP is by far the dominant partner. There is also every chance of other parties joining the NDA in the coming weeks offering their support.
