Going into their last group game on Tuesday, China have eight points and are second behind already qualified South Korea. Thailand are third on five.
The top two reach the next qualifying stage.
However, China face a daunting trip to Son Heung-min’s South Korea while Thailand host basement side Singapore.
If China lose against the best team in the group and Thailand win while also making up the goal difference against the worst team, the Thais will go through.
“It is only a matter of time before the World Cup dream ends,” China’s Oriental Sports Daily said on Friday.
The country’s long-suffering fans were no more optimistic, even if their team is still in the driving seat in second place and can guarantee progression with a draw in Seoul.
“This is good, preparing for the 2030 World Cup in advance,” said one sardonic post on Weibo.
“Even landing on the Moon is not a problem,” said another, referring to China’s successful Chang’e-6 lunar probe.
“Surprisingly the World Cup is still a problem.”