Euronews asked Italians and French nationals living in the Italian capital, what their take is on the ‘Meloni effect’ on French politics.
Italians believe French President Emmanuel Macron did the right thing in calling for snap elections as a result of the EU vote, a poll in Italy has found.
Only a relatively small minority – some 20% – said they were concerned by the rise of France’s extreme right to some form of power, according to a poll carried out by SWG and published by the Italian news channel, Tgla7.
However, when Euronews spoke to a selection of Italians on the streets of Rome, a slightly different picture emerged.
Some people expressed their concerns about Europe’s shift to the right, citing France as a specific example.
Among all of the different takes on the issue, there was one common theme – namely comparisons between what is seen as the inextricable link between what has happened in France and Italy’s Giorgia Meloni’s success.
When we asked an expert about the impact of the “Meloni effect” or, as they call it here, the “Melonizzazione” on French politics, the answer was clear.
“Right-wing parties could follow Meloni’s example.” Antonio Villafranca, Vice President for Research at the ISPI Institute, told Euronews, “Despite remaining a right-wing party, her party is not Euroskeptical.”
Whether or not Meloni can set an example for other right-wing political forces wanting to become more moderate remains to be seen. That includes Marine Le Pen’s Rassemblement National party.
Meloni and Le Pen have previously disagreed on several issues, with Meloni proclaiming herself “pro-Ukraine” and “pro-NATO”.
In theory, that’s something that would make it difficult to find common ground with members of the wider ID political group Le Pen’s RN belongs to.
When it comes to Macron, though, “I think it’s clear that the French President’s weakening is seen positively by the Italian government,” Villafranca explained.
Tensions between Macron and Meloni were clear at the G7 summit that took place in Puglia earlier in June, clashing particularly over abortion rights in the bloc.
What do French nationals in Italy make of the political situation?
French nationals living in Italy have seen their country change from abroad – but Meloni’s influence on Italy appears to have had an increasingly positive impact on the outlook of their home country.
Julien, who has been living in Rome for 8 years, is concerned about what could happen in France – but he is reassured by the fact that some of Meloni’s initial, somewhat controversial, promises have simply never been fulfilled.
“She has continued to work well with European institutions,” he told Euronews, “so even if Rassemblement National rises to power in France, I hope it will be balanced when dealing with some of its most extreme proposals.”
Younger generations living abroad sometimes say they feel more impacted.
Macron’s decision to call for snap elections has made some think about going back to France and engaging in politics more than ever before.
Sarah Hannah, who works at the French Cultural Institute in Rome, told us she is impressed by how closely Italy is following the elections.
ADVERTISEMENT“I was so surprised because I think in France we talk less about Italian politics compared to how much people here talk about French politics,” she explained.
Above all, we found that many people feel that political stability is a relatively new phenomenon in Italy.
For once, Italians are not the ones who have to worry about snap elections.
That’s perhaps why many eyes here are set firmly on France, keen to find out what’s going to happen after the upcoming elections – both in the country and in wider Europe.
